Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 2.518559e-05 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064
2025-06-01 1.851253e-05 0.000025 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077
2025-06-08 1.443835e-05 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000053 0.000069 0.000088
2025-06-15 1.160353e-05 0.000018 0.000027 0.000040 0.000055 0.000074 0.000099
2025-06-22 9.348794e-06 0.000016 0.000026 0.000039 0.000057 0.000079 0.000108
2025-06-29 7.333188e-06 0.000014 0.000024 0.000038 0.000057 0.000082 0.000115
2025-07-06 5.545770e-06 0.000012 0.000021 0.000035 0.000056 0.000083 0.000120
2025-07-13 4.385094e-06 0.000010 0.000019 0.000034 0.000056 0.000086 0.000127
2025-07-20 3.600823e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000034 0.000057 0.000089 0.000135
2025-07-27 2.994041e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000034 0.000059 0.000094 0.000143
2025-08-03 2.798092e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000036 0.000063 0.000102 0.000158
2025-08-10 2.248699e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000035 0.000064 0.000105 0.000164
2025-08-17 1.617162e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000034 0.000063 0.000106 0.000170
2025-08-24 1.200413e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000033 0.000063 0.000109 0.000178
2025-08-31 9.095045e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000032 0.000064 0.000113 0.000188
2025-09-07 6.896672e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000032 0.000066 0.000117 0.000197
2025-09-14 5.024128e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000032 0.000066 0.000121 0.000206
2025-09-21 3.307025e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000030 0.000066 0.000122 0.000212
2025-09-28 1.899408e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000029 0.000064 0.000122 0.000215
2025-10-05 1.157124e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000028 0.000064 0.000124 0.000221
2025-10-12 7.458774e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000065 0.000127 0.000230
2025-10-19 4.772628e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000027 0.000066 0.000131 0.000240
2025-10-26 4.282745e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000029 0.000070 0.000141 0.000258